34.5%! Machine Tool Industry Industry Climate Index Authoritative Release

Abstract [Before the compilation] At the 7th executive director (expansion) meeting of the 7th China Machine Tool & Tool Industry Association held on December 23, Chen Huiren, executive vice president and secretary general of the association, released the 2015 tool economy of the machine tool manufacturing industry. The degree index is detailed below.
[Before the compilation] At the 7th executive director (expansion) meeting of the 7th China Machine Tool & Tool Industry Association held on December 23, Chen Huiren, executive vice president and secretary general of the association, released the 2015 tool tool manufacturing industry to the conference. The index is detailed below.
Since 2014, China Machine Tool Industry Association has tried to use the probabilistic index analysis method (similar to the PMI index) to specifically assess the prosperity of China's machine tool manufacturing industry, in order to provide necessary information for industry operators to judge the situation and make business decisions. reference. To this end, the association conducts a sample questionnaire survey for industry business operators, and uses the index analysis method to statistically process the survey results, thus forming a boom index of the machine tool industry.
In 2015, the industry's overall prosperity index was only 34.5%, well below the 50% cut-off line, and significantly decreased by 8.8 percentage points compared with 2014.
Judging from the economic situation of the sub-sectors, the prosperity index of each sub-sector in 2015 was lower than that of 2014. Among them, the metal cutting machine tool is 36%, a slight decrease of 3 percentage points compared with 2014; the metal forming machine tool is 33.3%, a steep drop of 30.4 percentage points (47.7%) compared with 2014; the amount of work is 21.4%, Compared with 2014, the steep drop was 29.3 percentage points (a decrease of 57.8%); the functional components and numerical control system were 31%, a significant drop of 15.8 percentage points (down 33.8%) compared with 2014. The rankings of the decline in the boom index are metal forming machine tools, measuring tools, functional components and CNC systems, and metal cutting machines. The above industry index and comparison are basically in line with the actual trend of the industry market and economic operation.
From the perspective of the business climate of different ownership systems, the prosperity index of all types of enterprises with ownership in 2015 was lower than that of 2014. Among them, state-owned and collectively-controlled enterprises accounted for 36.7%, a significant decrease of 9.8 percentage points compared with 2014; privately-owned enterprises were 34.5%, a significant drop of 22.4 percentage points compared with 2014; foreign investment and Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan holding enterprises were 23.9%. Compared with 2014, it dropped 43.3 percentage points; other ownership enterprises accounted for 32.6%, which was basically the same as in 2014. The rankings of the decline in the prosperity index are foreign-funded and Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan holding companies, privately-held enterprises, state-owned and collectively-held enterprises, and other enterprises of ownership. Among them, the decline of foreign capital and Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan holding companies deserve special attention.

From the perspective of the basic elements of business operations, in 2015, except for environmental factors, the prosperity index of all basic business elements was lower than that of 2014. Among them, the order was only 17.8%, a significant drop of 21.6 percentage points compared with 2014; the operation was 31.2%, a slight decrease of 2.6 percentage points compared with 2014; the cost was 47.4%, a slight increase of 2.8 percentage points compared with 2014 (The only index that has rebounded); the environment is 57.8% (the only index that shows expansion), down 4.5 percentage points from 2014. It is not difficult to see from the above sub-index that the shortage of orders is the most prominent contradiction affecting the operation of the industry, and the specific value of the order index reflects that the order boom has been extremely contracted.

The expected index for 2016 is 38.2%, a significant decrease of 9.4 percentage points compared with 2014, reflecting the fact that industry companies are generally not optimistic about the situation next year.

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